Hoping this current forecast sticks... time will tell though.

NOAA still showing the areas of interest with possible development over the next 48 hours... 30% chance of cyclone development. 

As of August 15, 2023, we are seeing the disturbances shown at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Also, at the Southwest Florida Water Management District page, we see some models they have run.... 

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/hurricane-model-plots

Lastly, we have Tropical Tidbits showing what the American GFS models are showing... needless to say, August 27th could be eventful for us here in Southwest Florida.... 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2023081518&fh=174

I am really thinking that the month of September is going to be a very wet month for us here since July and August were nearly droughts. 

Praying that we are not in the path again this year!